NBA Finals Specials + Sonny Gray Night

Colorado Rockies +190 @ St. Louis Cardinals -230

Game Total: 7.5 | Starting Pitchers: Cal Quantrill (R) vs. Sonny Gray (R) 

Temps in the 80s with winds blowing out to right at 10 mph.

The Rockies will travel out of Coors and into St. Louis where they will face Sonny Gray. Sonny’s last thirty days hasn’t been all that great, he’s given up 4+ ER to the Phillies, the Brewers, and the Angels in the last month. Still though, he comes into the day as the biggest home-favorite and should get decent run support from his offense. Gray’s strikeout rate is still sky-high at 33.6%, which should be the reason he smashes through this Rockies offense (22.5% over the last month). Charlie Blackmon presents a solo home run opportunity here, but other than that, I do expect Gray to succeed and right the wrongs of the last month.

Cal Quantrill has been pretty average and to his standards, pretty above-average over the last month. He has shut down opposing righties and has given up some damage to lefties who don’t strike out. Unfortunately, he has to face a Cardinals lineup that ranks 9th in wRC+ against right-handed pitching over the last month (109). Nolan Gorman has seven hits and four home runs in his last five games while Alec Burleson has five hits and three home runs in that same span. Nolan Arenado has woken up and has six hits and three home runs over the last week. The Cardinals are above the Reds for me and present as a fringe top five offense behind the Red Sox, Dodgers, Braves, and probably Cubs/Yankees.

Arizona Diamondbacks +108 @ San Diego Padres -126

Game Total: 8.5 | Starting Pitchers: Slade Cecconi (R) vs. Randy Vasquez (R) 

Temps in the mid 60s with winds blowing across the field left to right at 5 mph. Pitcher-friendly park. 

Randy Vasquez draws the start for the last game of Thursday’s card. He’s given up 3+ earned runs in four of the last five outings and has not been great against left-handed hitting (0.207 ISO / 0.452 wOBA / 13% K%). Joc Pederson profiles well for the snakes while Jake McCarthy also has strong numbers against righties. Marte and Carroll had nice weekends last weekend but have cooled off this week in general (no one really sticks out, Arizona is not a top five stack).

Slade Cecconi will get the start for the Diamondbacks. He’s given up 6+ runs in three of his last five outings, including six to this Padres team back on May 3rd. Slade is getting smacked around by both lefties and righties and is striking out lefties at just a 6% clip over the last month. Luis Arraez, Jurickson Profar, and Jake Cronenworth are all solid lefties to use here. Fernando Tatis has an eleven-game hitting streak and had seven hits in three games against Angels pitching. He’ll have to take a stronghold on this lineup and carry the torch as Manny Machado is likely headed to the IL (maybe) with a hip injury. Padres are close to a top five stack but I can put a good six teams in front of them.

Read the rest of Thursday’s game-by-game MLB Rundown via the embedded link below.

The Pikkit community is backing Dallas to cover the spread while the majority of the money is on Boston to take Game 1. Over 86% of the money is also on the OVER of the game total. Which side you backing tonight?!

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