Sharp Ramblings #6: March Madness is HERE

March Madness is officially underway!! No. 9 West Virginia vs. No. 8 Maryland has just tipped off a weekend jam-packed with College Basketball. Here’s where our friends over at BetMGM have priced the Thursday morning/afternoon of the first round:

The best bet tracking app on the market, Pikkit, is a great place for the beginner prop bettor to get their feet wet in the space. With their free bet-tracking technology, you can sync sportsbooks to make your life easier while also giving you a platform to post/see what player’s your friends are looking at targeting on any specific day. Below are some Pikkit Community tidbits regarding Thursday’s highly anticipated matchup between Furman and Virginia.

81.6% of bettors on Pikkit are on Virginia money line while 61.6% of spread bettors are backing Furman to cover the 5.5 points. Virginia has been called out this week as one of the tournament teams most prone to being upset in the first round. Will their defense and slow tempo prevail or will it create a disaster on day one?

The most popular play from this Big East vs. America East game is quite interesting, as the majority of money line bettors are on No. 2 seed Marquette while 80%+ of spread bettors are expecting No. 15 seed Vermont to cover the double-digit number. Both of these teams put heavy emphasis on three-point shooting, yet neither of them can defend the three ball well at all. Vermont ranks 47th in the country in 3-point shot rate while Marquette ranks 66th.

To show you how atrocious these numbers are, Vermont ranks 225th in opponent 3-point field goal percentage (34.6%) and Marquette ranks 258th in that stat (35.2%). While the data tells you to take the over here on the total, many community members are saying under.

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Santiago Vescovi and No. 4 Tennessee take on No. 13 Louisiana-Lafayette Thursday evening to begin their hopeful tournament run. After losing their best player in Zakai Zegler to injury, Vescovi has elevated his play over the last few weeks. While the tournament is driven by making free throws and relentless defensive play, the three point shot is at this point just as important for the majority of teams. Vescovi has averaged 8.5 three-point attempts per game over the last ten outings, clearing his current 3PM prop of 2.5 in nine of the last ten.

The Vols are 11.5-point favorites here according to BetMGM - leaving enough wiggle room for us to feel comfortable attacking Vescovi’s 3PMs once again.

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