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Week 5 TNF Trends + Player Specials for Bears/Commanders

Good evening RotoRadar Nation!

The RotoRadar team is 31-11 to start the 2023 NFL DFS season as we head into Week 5!

An less than ideal Thursday Night slate awaits us between the 0-4 Chicago Bears and the 2-2 Washington Commanders, let’s dive in:

5 Trends to Watch for Bears @ Commanders —

  • Through four weeks of the 2023 regular season, the public is winning at an insane rate of 33-24-3 against the spread (teams receiving more than 50% of the bets), the third-highest number in the last 20 years

  • YIKES -- the Chicago Bears haven't won a football game since October 24th, 2022. Literally all major sports teams (NHL, NBA, MLB, NFL) have at least won one game during that timeframe. The Bears are also 0-3-1 against the spread this season.

  • Commanders are 12-22-2 ATS in home games at night

  • The Washington Commanders are 2-2 against the spread, but it does help that the Bears have forced every single game they are involved in to hit the OVER of total points (44.5 Total via BetOnline.ag)

  • Last thing here: The Bears have lost 14 consecutive games and have allowed 25+ points in EVERY SINGLE GAME. This is the longest streak of its kind in NFL history.

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The community over on Bet-Tracking App Pikkit is all in on the Washington Commanders ML tonight but the spread is a bit more questionable…

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DJ Moore’s last three games in a Chicago Bears uniform:

Week 2: 7 targets - 6 receptions - 104 receiving yards (19.4 ppr points)

Week 3: 6 targets - 3 receptions - 41 receiving yards + TD (13.1 ppr points)

Week 4: 9 targets - 8 receptions - 131 receiving yards + TD (30.1 ppr points)

The Washington Commanders are giving up the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.

Play Sleeper Picks’ DJ Moore Pick on Sale for TNF Here.